Super Bowl Betting: Five Best Prop Bets for Super Bowl 45

It’s been two weeks of analyzing, arguing, and pontificating about Super Bowl XLV. Finally, the big game is upon us, and you’re probably contributing at least a few bucks to the billions of dollars wagered on the Super Bowl. We’ve already been over some of the crazy prop bets available, so now it’s time for advice on the ones that will win you the money.

Going based on the 24 Super Bowl prop bet sheets posted at ESPN Radio 1100’s Super Bowl blog, here are the bets I think that have the chance of earning you some serious cash and sportsbook bonuses.

1) James Starks’ first run is set at 3.5 yards — I think that one goes under at -145. Pittsburgh’s vaunted run defense has earned its reputation for a reason; Starks won’t gain that kind of ground easily. Win. 1 yard

2) Likewise, under 50.5 yards at -110 is a great bet against James Starks. Again, not only do I not see the Packers running on the Steelers well, I don’t even see them trying to. Loss. 52 yards

3) The amount of total sacks in the game is listed at five at -110. I think that one goes over. Both defenses are swarming, and the Packers in particular have a strong pass rush. I think that either pushes or goes over. Loss. 4 sacks

4) I still think betting that the first score of the game will not be a touchdown is a good bet. I’ll take +155 that the first score is a field goal. Loss. Packers TD.

5) Longest touchdown of the game will be under 44.5 yards at -110. I know both offenses are capable of big plays, I just think it’s tough to say that will happen. Win. 37 yards longest.

And if you want to know my expert pick for the game, here it is.

Steelers Coach Mike Tomlin Was Reportedly ‘Too Hip-Hop’ for the Dolphins

From 1989 to 2003, the Miami Dolphins did not have a losing season. Sure they had Hall of Famer Dan Marino playing quarterback and that helps tremendously, but Jay Fiedler (Jay Fiedler!) played QB the last four of those seasons. Their defense also was pretty outstanding many of those years, but the point is the people and fans in Miami were used to seeing a winning team.

Things changed pretty rapidly in Miami after that run of success. Once the Dolphins got rid of Dave Wannstedt, they hired Nick Saban who went 9-7 his first year but slipped to 6-10 before moving back to college. Miami had a major decision at that point: whom to hire as the replacement for Saban. They opted for Cam Cameron who was the offensive coordinator in San Diego. I didn’t like the hire for one simple reason: Cameron’s success was due more to his luck of coaching talented offensive players LaDainian Tomlinson, Antonio Gates, and Philip Rivers than his own abilities.

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Maurkice Pouncey Replaced by Doug Legursky Will be Big Advantage for Packers

After spending two weeks denying reports that rookie center Maurkice Pouncey was ruled out for the Super Bowl, the Pittsburgh Steelers finally admitted that they would be without their young Pro Bowler. The result is second-year center Doug Legursky from Marshall will start in Pouncey’s place, and that is a big advantage for the Green Bay Packers.

Legursky replaced Pouncey in the AFC Championship Game when Maurkice hurt his ankle (the injury that resulted in him missing the Super Bowl). Doug botched a snap to quarterback Ben Roethlisberger that resulted in a fumble in that game, something that should never happen. Even though they’ve had two weeks to practice and get in-sync, it’s still a difference in comfortability for the quarterback to have someone new snapping him the ball.

The other area where Pouncey’s injury will be a major factor is blocking. Legursky is 6’1″, and though he’s strong, he’s shorter than the 6’4″ Florida rookie. Green Bay runs a 3-4 defense, lining up nose tackle B.J. Raji in front of the center frequently. Though Raji often hangs back in zone coverage if he recognizes pass plays, he should be able to push Legursky around on runs, and be able to get his hands up to block passes.

It’s not often that injuries not related to the quarterback have such an impact on a football game, but this could be one. We’ve already seen what Raji can do based on his big play in the NFC Championship Game. Don’t be surprised if he has an even bigger impact on the Super Bowl.

Playboy’s Jaime Edmondson Recreates Best Super Bowl Moments (Pictures)

Over the past several months, Playboy’s Jaime Edmondson has become the official Playmate of the NFL.  She has emerged as a staple in Jimmy Traina’s SI Hot Clicks, and fans of every team have had the luxury of seeing her sporting their colors.  Edmondson wasn’t wearing much during her NFL shoot, but there’s something football fans love about seeing their team’s colors on what little of her body is covered up. Who can blame them (us)?

Hot Clicks and Playboy recently teamed up to put together the top three moments in Super Bowl history — taken via a fan poll — and Playboy featured a photoshoot with Jaime recreating the historic moments.  The results were not disappointing.  Check out the Jaime Edmondson Playboy Super Bowl pictures:

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Super Bowl 45 Expert Picks – Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers

This series is brought to you by T.G.I Fridays®, encouraging you to Rush in and Tackle their new Game Time Menu

We’re only two days away from gametime, and predicting the outcome of the contest is no less easier. Those of you waiting for a controversy to emerge in order to help the decision ended up disappointed; this desperate attempt for a story was all we got.

The Pittsburgh Steelers certainly seem to be goofing around much more than the Green Bay Packers. Are they comfortable because they’ve been there before — three times since 2006? Or are they overconfident because they won their last two Super Bowls? I’m not sure, but I’m not getting a good vibe from Pittsburgh.

Doc Brown’s Pick: The Doc was initially leaning towards the Steelers, figuring that between Ben Roethlisberger’s gritty style of play and their defense’s ability to make game-changing plays, they’d win. Plus, they just always seem to get the necessary calls, or make the necessary plays to win the game. And most importantly, I cannot stand the Steelers, and they seem to win just to spite me.

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Justin Forsett says Aaron Rodgers Has Not Changed Despite his Popularity

In the black corner, we have Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers quarterback. His hobbies include singing Billy Joel, allegedly sexually crushing women against their will, and riding on his motorcycle.

In the green corner, there’s Aaron Rodgers. His hobbies include watching film, dating TV personalities, and paying his enemies’ restaurant bills.

The contrast between the characters is evident, and in many ways it has turned Sunday’s Super Bowl is a battle of good vs. evil, and moral vs. immoral.

While stories about Big Ben’s fame turning him into a high-profile jerk are abundant, we hear from Aaron Rodgers’ college teammate (and Seahawks RB) Justin Forsett that becoming successful in the NFL hasn’t changed the Packers QB at all. Check out this video Alana G did for Yardbarker at the Super Bowl:

Needless to say we’ll be rooting for the good guys on Sunday. For more Super Bowl videos, keep your eye on the Yardbarker at the Big Game blog.

Josh Freeman Fro Is Getting Pretty Crazy

Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Josh Freeman is pretty unique, and it’s not just because of all the success he’s had as a young quarterback. He’s one of the few athletes left that still proudly rocks an exceptional fro. The impressive Josh Freeman fro was on full display Thursday when he joined Jim Rome is Burning on ESPN:

I don’t mind the look at all, but I think it’s getting somewhat out of hand. Not this bad, but it’s getting out there. After Freeman cleared the set, Houston Texans running back Arian Foster stepped up with Rome. When Rome mentioned how big Freeman is, Foster offered up this completely on his own “I dunno about his hairdo though, that’s not my style.” Ouch. I’m guessing Freeman will keep that in mind if the teams meet next season.

So what do you think, should the fashion police arrest Freeman or not?