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NFL Week 3 expert picks against the spread – Doc’s locks

Much like Donnie in “The Big Lebowski,” Doc Brown has been throwing rocks and knocking down his weekly picks. 83 percent on the Top 3 locks to start the season, above .500 record against-the-spread, and 63 percent straight up.

Doc will keep the money train rolling in Week 3. Below are his and Del’s expert NFL picks for the week, along with analysis of the Top 3 below.

NFL PICKS WEEK 3
(ATS = Against the Spread, SU = Straight Up)

NFL picks week 3

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NFL Week 3 expert picks against the spread – Del’s picks

Drew-Brees-frustrated-with-SaintsThere’s really no way to sugarcoat it — the first two weeks of the NFL season have not gone well for Del. It has been an ice cold start, but there can be no panicking this early in the season. The more we get a feel for things and watch teams play, the better the picks should be.

If you’ve been betting Del’s “locks,” you’re in red figures right now. But don’t worry, the goal is to be above the 50-percent mark by the end of the season. We still have more than enough time to get there, and Week 3 is a good time to start going in the right direction.

Here are Del’s Week 3 NFL Picks, with analysis of the top three after the chart. Check back later in the week for Doc Brown’s picks.

NFL PICKS WEEK 3
(ATS = Against the Spread, SU = Straight Up)

NFL picks week 3

Are the Chargers already underrated or what? This is a team that should be 2-0 if not for a fluke meltdown in a hostile road environment against the Cardinals in primetime. San Diego looked incredibly convincing against the defending champion Seahawks on Sunday. Philip Rivers is playing at an extremely high level and seems very comfortable under offensive coordinator Frank Reich. Heck, the Chargers even managed to move the ball against Richard Sherman. I’m not sold on the Bills yet, as a regression has to be coming from EJ Manuel. The Chargers aren’t bad enough to be a 1-2 team and the Bills aren’t good enough to be a 3-0 team. Expect the expected in this game. Chargers should win outright.

There probably isn’t a more desperate team in the NFL this week than the Saints. They had a couple of ugly losses to the Falcons and Browns to start the season, but we all know Sean Payton’s team is a different animal when playing in their dome at home. Rob Ryan’s defense has to start forcing some turnovers, and the Vikings showed last week against New England that they’re capable of giving up plenty of them. I expect the Saints to come out firing on offense and their defense to come up with a few takeaways. This one could easily be a blowout.

And finally, I can’t believe I’m saying this — I somehow feel great about the Giants this week. Sure, the Texans are coming an impressive win. They demolished the Raiders on the road, but in this case I think the fact that it was a road game is going to hurt them. The Texans had to travel from Houston to Oakland and back and will now go to the complete opposite side of the country to play the Giants. That’s a lot of traveling. If the Giants can’t capitalize on that to avoid starting 0-3, there won’t be an ounce of hope left for Tom Coughlin’s team.

NFL Week 2 expert picks against the spread – Doc’s picks

While Las Vegas sportsbooks killed it the first week of the NFL season, Doc Brown posted a decent .500 week while going 2-1 on his locks. That’s not a bad way to kick off the NFL season.

The Doc knows that a lot changes from the second week to the first. Teams that had fluky victories in Week 1 won’t be as lucky in Week 2. Teams that had the home field advantage in the first week and are on the road in the second week will see big changes. Fear not, however, as the Doc has you covered.

Take a look at the expert picks from Doc and Del in the spreadsheet below, along with analysis of the Top 3 picks after that.

NFL PICKS WEEK 2
(ATS = Against the Spread, SU = Straight Up)

NFL-Picks-LB

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NFL Week 2 expert picks against the spread – Del’s picks

Aaron RodgersWeek 1 of the NFL season didn’t exactly start the way Del wanted it to, but there’s a silver lining here — there are still 16 to go. If we’re still picking games below the .500 mark and going 0-for-3 in the Top 3 by about week 11 or 12, we might hit the panic button. But for now, we move forward.

Week 1 featured some truly whacky covers. For whatever reason, the Jets went for two after scoring to take a 19–7 lead over the Raiders. They failed, and the Raiders ended up covering the 5.5-point spread with another touchdown. That one left a sour taste in Del’s mouth, as did the Eagles’ insane late cover against the Jaguars. Nevertheless, it’s time to shake it off. Here are Del’s Week 2 NFL picks. Check back later in the week for Doc Brown’s picks.

NFL PICKS WEEK 2
(ATS = Against the Spread, SU = Straight Up)

NFL-Picks-LB

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NFL Week 1 expert picks against the spread – Doc’s picks

Wooooooo!!!!!! Footbawwwwww is here!!!! It’s Week 1 of the NFL season. Everyone has hopes of making the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. Clean slates for everyone! And once again, everyone thinks they have a chance of beating Doc Brown in NFL picks. And once again, that won’t happen.

The Doc has a pristine record as a prognosticator and will continue his run of success this season. Just like many years in the past, the experts here at LBS will be picking games each week. Doc and Del will post our picks straight up and against the spread and keep track of our running totals all season. As usual, we’ll also do our weekly top 3 picks. Those are the money in the bank locks.

This time around we’re also adding a twist — the previous week’s winner in the LBS weekly pick ‘em pool (go here for details on signing up) will also make picks each week. Since it’s Week 1, we’ve asked last year’s league champ BMK to make his picks as well. Those are far below.

Below are Doc and Del’s Week 1 picks against the spread and straight up with some analysis below.

NFL PICKS WEEK 1
(ATS = Against the Spread, SU = Straight Up)

NFL-Picks-Doc

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NFL Week 1 expert picks against the spread – Del’s picks

And we’re back, folks. After a painful 2013 NFL season, Doc Brown and Del are with you once again to bring you our expert* analysis all season long. Let’s just say 2013 was not a good year for picks here at LBS. Both Doc and Del were beat up all season and finished below the 50% mark against the spread and with weekly locks. The good news about that? It has us more motivated for the 2014 season.

[Join the LBS annual NFL Pick 'em challenge and win Prizes! Details on signing up here]

For those of you who are first-timers, we pick every game against the spread and straight up every week. The picks you see highlighted in blue are the games we feel best about. If you’re a gambler — not that we promote that kind of thing (cough, cough) — and you happen to trust us, those are the ones you want to pay close attention to.

Without further ado and pathetic disclaimer, here are Del’s picks for Week 1 of the NFL season. Read analysis of the Top 3 selections below the chart. Check back later in the week for Doc Brown’s picks.

NFL PICKS WEEK 1
(ATS = Against the Spread, SU = Straight Up)

NFL-Picks-Week-1

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Congratulations to BK Picks for winning the LBS Pick ‘em Pool

Big congratulations are in order for Bryan K, whose BK Picks won the LBS Pick ‘em Pool. BK Picks finished with an impressive record of 131-89 (59.5% when you count his lowest two weeks being dropped).

BK Picks impressively picked 14 of 16 games correctly against the spread in Week 14, and 11 of 16 games correctly against the spread in Weeks 15-17 to win the league.

Congratulations are also in order for scBslug/Mike22, who missed winning the league by one point. He still had an excellent season and nearly pulled it out by posting 11 correct picks in Week 17.

Bring em’ Back!/Paul finished in third with 126 correct picks. Paul wasn’t able to get over the hump in the final three weeks, posting a five that got dropped, and back-to-back nines, but he still had a great season.

Play Action finished in fourth with 123 points. He started the season by winning Week 1 and kept up a strong pace after that.

Congratulations to all on a fun season and thank you very much for playing. If you were one of the top three finishers, please email me to collect your prize. And if you feel like you deserve a prize for participating all season, winning a week or just because, send me an email as well.

Oh, and as the cherry on top of the terrible season for Doc and Del, below are our results for the full year of picks. This was by far the worst we’ve ever done. Doc is in shame.

LBS final picks

See you again next season.