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Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Super Bowl prop bets: making your experience fun

One of the best ways to spice up a Super Bowl party is to have everyone pick the Super Bowl prop bets. If you’re wagering on them, it’s also one of the easiest ways to lose money. But there are some people who just love to wager on anything from the length of the National Anthem to the color of Madonna’s hair.

With that in mind, I present some of the Super Bowl prop bets via RJ Bell at pregame.com. I don’t bet on these items, but my pick is the Pats over the Giants 20-17. I also said earlier in the week that if the Giants win, Eli Manning will be MVP, and if the Pats win, it will be Aaron Hernandez. I’m sticking by that.

Below are your Super Bowl prop bets.

Passing yards (over/under)
Tom Brady: 321.5
Eli Manning: 311.5
(You can match-up Brady yards -10 vs. Manning yards)

Will both Brady and Manning throw for 300 yards?
Yes: 35% ($100 wins $170)
No: 65% ($200 wins $100)

Brady over 500 yards: $100 wins $2,500 (25 to 1)
Manning over 500 yards: $100 wins $3,500 (35 to 1)

Touchdown passes (over/under)
Tom Brady: 2.5
Eli Manning: 2.5

Rushing yards (over/under):
Bradshaw: 61.5
Green-Ellis: 47.5
Jacobs: 30.5
Woodhead: 23.5
Hernandez: 12.5
Brady: 5.5
Manning: 3.5

Patriots are favored by 2.5 overall rushing yards over Giants (NE: o/u 105 vs. NYG: o/u 102.5)

Patriots are favored by 15.5 total overall yards (passing and rushing) over Giants.

Receiving yards (over/under)
Nicks: 87.5
Cruz: 85.5
Gronkowski: 77.5
Welker: 75.5
Hernandez: 64.5
Manningham: 44.5
Branch: 37.5
Ballard: 22.5

Will Victor Cruz have more than 200 yards receiving? 30 to 1

Will Chad Ochocino catch even a single pass?
Yes: 43% ($100 wins $120)
No: 57% ($140 wins $100)

Will Chad Ochocino score the first TD of the game? 60 to 1

MVP ($100 wins . . . )
Brady: $130
Manning: $220
Gronkowski: $900
Cruz: $1000
Nicks: $1400
Hernandez: $1500
Welker: $1500

Total yards, both teams combined:
over/under: 809.5 yards

*** Scoring:

14 or less overall points scored in game: 80 to 1

More than 77 overall points scored: 20 to 1

No TD scored: 1,000 to 1

Number of total touchdowns: over/under 6.5

Over/Under points for each quarter:
First: 10.5 points
Second: 17 points
Third: 11 points
Fourth: 14.5 points

Will there be more scoring in the first half OR second half (including OT)? Odds are 50/50.

Will team score in all 4 quarters?
Patriots: 31% chance ($100 wins $190 if yes)
Giants: 28% chance ($100 wins $220 if yes)

Will any quarter of the game be scoreless?
Yes: 21% ($100 wins $325)
No: 79% ($425 wins $100)

First score of game will be:
TD: 64% ($190 wins $100)
Other: 36% ($100 wins $170)

Will the first scoring play be a safety? 40 to 1

Will Patriots score a TD in the 1st Quarter?
Yes = 50%
No = 50%

Longest TD scored in game:
over/under 49.5 yards

Longest Field Goal in game:
over/under 44.5 yards

Will there by 7 or more field goals? 35 to 1

Largest lead of game, either team:
over/under 14.5 points

Will either team score 3 consecutive times?
Yes: 65% ($200 wins $100)
No: 35% ($100 wins $175)

Will there be a defensive or special teams touchdown?
Yes: 39% ($100 wins $145)
No: 61% ($175 wins $100)

Will there be a successful 2-point conversation?
Yes: 18% ($100 wins $400)
No: 82% ($500 wins $100)

Will there be a safety?
Yes: 13% ($100 wins $600)
No: 87% ($800 wins $100)

Will game go to overtime?
Yes: 12% ($100 wins $650)
No: 88% ($850 wins $100)

Will there be a missed extra point game?
Yes: 7% ($100 wins $1,100)
No: 93% ($1,600 wins $100)

Will the game be tied again after 0-0?
Yes: 50%
No: 50%

Will there be a lead change in the second half?
Yes: 40% ($100 wins $135)
No: 60% ($165 wins $100)

What will happen first? Patriots score (50% chance) or Patriots punt (50% chance)

Odds of Patriots scoring exactly 2-points? $10 wins $99,999

Patriots win by more than two touchdowns: $100 wins $500

Patriots win by 39 or more points: $100 wins $3,500

Will Giants ever lead in game?
Yes: 80% ($460 wins $100)
No: 20% ($100 wins $360)

Giants win by more than two touchdown: $100 wins $850

Giants win by 39 or more points: $100 wins $5,000

*** Cross-Sport:
(which will be higher . . . )
Kobe Bryant points (Saturday) vs. Patriots points
Lebron James (points, rebounds, assists) vs. Longest Field Goal made
Heat 3-point field goals vs. Giants/Patriots combined touchdowns
Phil Mickelson’s 4th round birdies vs. Giants punts
Knicks first quarter points vs. Giants game points
Kevin Garnett points vs. Tom Brady first half completions
Eli Manning completions vs. LeBron James points
Tom Brady TD passes vs. Ray Allen 3-pointers made

*** Wacky Props:

Heads or Tails on coin flip ($101 wins $100 either way)

How long will it take Kelly Clarkson to sing National Anthem?
over/under 1 minute and 34 seconds

Will Kelly Clarkson in any way mess up Anthem lyrics?
If yes, $100 wins $250

Will Kelly Clarkson’s bare belly be showing during Anthem?
If yes, $100 wins $300

What color will Madonna’s hair be?
Blonde: 76% ($400 wins $100)
Any other color: 24% ($100 wins $250)

Will Madonna be wearing fishnet stockings at any point?
Yes: 50%
No: 50%

How many times will these people/events be shown:
(from kick-off to final whistle)
over/under . . .
Peyton Manning: 3.5 times
Robert Kraft: 3.5 times
David Tyree’s 2008 catch: 1.5 times
Giselle Bundchen: .5 times (half-a-time is same as yes or no prop)
Mitt Romney: .5 times (half-a-time is same as yes or no prop)

How many times will these topics be mentioned:
(from kick-off to final whistle)
over/under . . .
Andrew Luck: 1 time
Jim Isray: 1 time

If Tom Brady’s son is shown during game, will he be wearing dad’s jersey?
Yes: 60% ($170 wins $100)
No: 40% ($100 wins $130)

What color Gatorade will be dumped on winning coach?
($100 wins . . . )
Clear: $200
Orange: $225
Yellow $250
Red: $550
Green: $600
Blue: $1000

How many average viewers will the game have?
over/under 117 million views

Will the winning coach retire before next season?
If yes, $100 wins $1,000 (10 to 1)



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