Luckily for NFL fans we get our fix earlier than usual this week — there is a game on Thursday night (a reminder to get your picks in earlier than usual). We’d all be watching on Thursday night regardless of the teams, but it’s hard not to get excited about Baltimore visiting Atlanta. They are two of the best teams in the NFL, both 6-2, and they each have an excellent shot at the Super Bowl. Picking a winner there wasn’t easy, nor is it easy with all the other games.
The Doc is now picking at 55.4% against the spread this year and 59% straight up. The best news of all is what’s going on with the Top 3. The Doc has nailed 74% of his Top 3 this year making the model of going 2-1 each week to earn money an absolute gem. Here are The Doc’s Top 3 for week 10:
I’m taking Tampa Bay and laying the 6.5. Make sure you get them giving 6.5 and not 7, as a touchdown win would result in a push instead of a win. This really is a bet against the inept Carolina Panthers and Jimmy Clausen who has been one of the worst quarterbacks in the league. Carolina just placed Jeff Otah and Dan Connor on injured reserve, and their top two running backs are missing. The Bucs meanwhile seem to play well against inferior opponents. I absolutely love this matchup.
The Doc is going with the Rams +6 against the Niners. When I first saw the line I honestly thought it was a mistake. I still am waiting for someone to explain to me how the 49ers are favored by six points against anyone. Even if San Francisco were up 21-0 in the fourth quarter against the Bills and favored by six I still wouldn’t bet on them. St. Louis’ defense is very solid and I have a lot of faith in Sam Bradford to get at least two touchdowns on the board. That’s enough to ensure they cover. If the Rams don’t cover this line, I don’t know anything about football.
I also like the Chiefs -1 at the Broncos. I never thought Denver was as bad as they looked giving up 59 to the Raiders, but then they went out and lost to the Niners the following weekend. They’re not a bad team, but it will take more than that to beat Kansas City. The Chiefs let me down losing to the Raiders but they played well on a sloppy field and had the lead several times. Their pass defense can give Kyle Orton problems and from there, Denver’s ground game will struggle. I like the Chiefs in a near pick ‘em game. Analysis on all the games to follow.
(ATS = Against the Spread, SU = Straight Up)