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Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson scouting report – NBA Draft Guide excerpt

Zion Williamson

Larry Brown Sports college basketball correspondent Shane McNichol covers the NBA Draft every June. This year, his rankings and full prospect profiles are available as part of his Palestra Back NBA Draft Guide. For $3, readers have access to 70 player breakdowns that include more than 25,000 words, making it a must for any draft nerd. Learn more at PalestraBack.com.

The post below is an excerpt from this guide, breaking down the presumptive No. 1 overall pick, Zion Williamson.

WHAT HE DOES WELL:

Defense

Everything you read or watch about Williamson will lead with his forceful play above the rim, his effectiveness in transition, or his ability to drive the basketball with direct aggressiveness. Each of those elements is part of Williamson’s game, with each of those factors adding to his position as a top-tier prospect.

In truth, what really separates Williamson from other high-level athletes is his ability to use his speed, springiness, and quickness on the defensive end of the floor. Despite standing 6-foot-8, Williamson was an effective rim protector patrolling the paint in his year at Duke. His ability to nearly scrape the ceiling, jumping off of one foot or both, makes Zion Williamson a feared shot blocker. He swatted 2.4 shots per 40 minutes, posting a block rate of 5.8 this season.

Although Williamson was among the heaviest players in all of college basketball at 285 pounds, his foot speed allowed him to close out on shooters and into passing lanes. No player taller or heavier than Williamson recorded a higher percentage of steals this season on a per-possession basis than the Duke freshman.

His rejection of a De’Andre Hunter 3-pointer at Virginia was the perfect encapsulation of Williamson’s defensive abilities.

Williamson reaches a closing speed that no one his size could even dream about reaching and a peak height that no one, no matter their size, could match.

There are maybe five NBA players who can even fathom trying to guard every single player in the NBA. LeBron James, Giannis Antetekuompo, Ben Simmons, and maybe Kevin Durant make up that entire list. From the second Williamson steps on the court, he joins that group. If he stays properly motivated and healthy, Williamson could be First Team All-Defense many, many times, beginning as a rookie.

Attacking the paint

Williamson’s ability to effectively spark his team offensively stems from his penchant to use his size and speed to slice into the painted area. Defenders are constantly forced out of position as Williamson uses his body to create space.

While he was at Duke, Williamson unleashed a siege on the paint, doing so by building a full head of steam, barreling from the perimeter, or establishing position on the block. Either way, once Williamson had the ball inside his optimal scoring range, he was unstoppable. As just a freshman, Williamson led the ACC in 2-point shooting percentage and field goal shooting. In conference play, he converted just under 77 percent inside the arc.

Williamson showed the ability to score in the paint with floaters, hooks, layups, and dunks. While Zion certainly could overpower college level opponents, and he did, his arsenal of ways to score proves that he’ll continue to be able to convert at the next level.

When Williamson doesn’t get the ball where he wants to, it’s often because he was fouled. In ACC play, Williamson drew 6.4 fouls per 40 minutes, the 2nd-highest rate in the conference. With defenders constantly out of place, many are left with no other option than to reach in or overextended their arms, sending Williamson to the free throw line.

Passing

This year’s Duke team was one of the worst shooting teams in all of college basketball. The Blue Devils shot in the bottom 8th percentile from outside the arc and the bottom 29th from the free throw stripe. Williamson was certainly part of that problem (more on that in a minute), yet he was surrounded by a crop of poor shooters for nearly all of his minutes on the floor this season. Duke’s offense struggled with spacing, without true shooters to stretch the defense to the 3-point arc.

Coach K also made the strategic choice to play Williamson at power forward this year rather than center. This left a big man in the paint, even further complicating Duke’s spacing issues.

For Williamson, this resulted in less room to operate when the ball was in his hands. Defenders were ready and able to double-team Williamson at a moment’s notice, or at least pay extra attention as he looked to operate in the paint.

As just a freshman, Williamson showed himself able to respond to those extra eyeballs, creating scoring chances for his teammates all year long. Williamson only averaged 2.1 assists per game, yet saw countless crisp, smart passes ruined by a subpar shooter missing the mark.

At the next level, Williamson may not be able to be a primary offensive creator early in his career, but has the court vision to develop into that kind of weapon with the ball in his hands. This season, playing as a power forward, he ranked in the 99th percentile as a ball-handler in pick-and-roll. For his size, that level of playmaking is mind-blowing.

WHERE HE STRUGGLES

Shooting

Though he doesn’t lack shooting in the same way a player like Ben Simmons does, Zion Williamson’s jump shot leaves a lot to be desired. In Simmons’ case, he has chosen to exist completely without a 3-point shot. Heaven only knows if he could manage to even shoot 25 percent from beyond the arc or if that would be enough to at least make defenders stay within a car-length of the Sixers point guard. Instead, Simmons focuses his energy on attacking downhill and scoring on the interior.

Williamson looks to use his clunky jump shot to open up driving lanes to the basket. This season, he made 33.8 percent of his 71 collegiate long-range attempts, below the national average. He showed more issues in his shooting stroke at the free throw line, where he sank just 64 percent of his tries.

At the end of the day, Williamson can probably be a good enough shooter to open up the rest of his offensive game at the next level. Giannis Antetokounmpo attracted at least some perimeter attention, despite shooting just 26 percent from outside the arc. Draymond Green has been an effective playmaker when he was at least a threat to make shots, at 32 percent for his career. Joel Embiid suckers big men into his pump fake time-after-time, though he barely cracks 30 percent shooting as a pro.

If Williamson’s shot can at least make defenders commit to a cautious close-out on the perimeter, he’ll have no trouble blowing by them to the rim.

HOW HIS GAME TRANSLATES TO THE NBA:

Williamson will be able to compete in today’s NBA from day one due to his athleticism and high motor. He will be able to defend at an elite level right away, even when his offense is a work in progress. It may take Williamson time to adjust offensively, facing stronger defenders and more complete defensive schemes. He should find opportunities to score in transition or as a roll-man before finding and developing a smart, nuanced offensive identity.

His career will have extra life in the modern game, with positions becoming less and less important. Whereas a player the size of Zion Williamson used to be thought of as a “tweener” with no true position, we now know the value of a player able to switch defensively and exploit mismatches offensively. Williamson’s likely most valuable role will be as a small-ball center, protecting the rim with his verticality and spreading the floor offensively with his foot speed.

Comparable to:
Springier Larry Johnson
Explosive Draymond Green
More Skilled Kenneth Farried

If you enjoyed this scouting breakdown, be sure to visit Palestra Back to purchase Shane McNichol’s full draft guide.

Shane McNichol covers college basketball and the NBA for Larry Brown Sports. He also blogs about basketball at Palestra Back and has contributed to Rush The Court, ESPN.com, and USA Today Sports Weekly. Follow him on Twitter @OnTheShaneTrain.

Pelicans reportedly ‘raved’ about Zion Williamson after first meeting

Zion Williamson

The New Orleans Pelicans have set up a formal pre-draft meeting with likely top pick Zion Williamson, but it sounds like they’re already in love.

The Pelicans had already met with Williamson in Chicago in May, and they made no secret of how impressed by him they were, according to Scott Kushner of the Advocate.

Williamson becoming the No. 1 pick is a virtual formality at this point, and this meeting should only cement it. With Anthony Davis’ impending departure, Williamson will immediately become the face of the franchise from the moment he’s selected.

Zion Williamson autograph snub story being taken out of context?

Zion Williamson

An old quote Zion Williamson had a few years back about signing autographs went viral this week, but the way it is being presented is not entirely accurate.

Williamson made it a point to spend extra time signing autographs during his lone season in Duke, and that is something he has been passionate about since high school. When he was 16, Williamson said in a documentary about his team that he tries to sign every kid’s autograph because he knows how he would feel if an athlete he looked up to snubbed him.

“When I was little, I looked up to high school players and wanted their autographs and sometimes I couldn’t get it, I’d be hurt,” Williamson said at the time, via Marc Berman of the New York Post. “I said when I grew up, I don’t want to be like that. I want to sign every kid’s autograph. No matter how long it takes me.

“I try to sign every kid’s autograph. I don’t want to turn a little kid down because I know it will hurt them because it hurt me. Anthony Davis, John Wall turned me down. So I try to sign everybody’s.”

Apparently what Williamson said came off wrong. According to Shams Charania of The Athletic, he didn’t mean that Davis and Wall actually turned down his autograph request. He was simply using them as part of an analogy.

That makes sense, because Williamson said in the video clip that he never actually got a chance to see Wall and Davis play:

Everyone can relax now. Davis and Wall aren’t heartless autograph snubbers — at least not that we know of.

For such a young guy, Williamson seems to have the right attitude about being a superstar player. We saw that with the way he handled his unique situation at Duke, and the fact that he goes out of his way to sign as many autographs as possible is another great example.

Zion Williamson told HS coach he will be ‘honored’ to play for Pelicans

Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson is doing everything he can to put to rest any talk about him not wanting the New Orleans Pelicans to draft him.

On Thursday morning, Williamson’s stepfather told ESPN Radio that Zion returning to Duke for his sophomore season is “nothing that we have even considered.” There was also a report that Williamson had a positive meeting with the Pelicans this week, and now we have the 18-year-old’s high school coach saying he spoke with Williamson’s family and Zion would be “honored” to play for New Orleans.

In other words, that narrative can go away.

Williamson went against the advice of many people by even playing an entire season for Duke last year, as he was considered the consensus No. 1 pick all along and was risking a potential injury. While he remained committed to Duke, playing another season when he is about to become the top pick in the NBA Draft would be an insane decision.

The reports about Williamson reacting a certain way during the draft lottery may have been true, but that does not mean he is going to go to great measures to avoid playing for the Pelicans. Every star player would like to hand-pick the team that drafts him, but it doesn’t work that way.

Richard Jefferson had hilarious reaction to talk of Zion Williamson returning to Duke

Even if Zion Williamson was initially disappointed that the New York Knicks did not land the top overall pick in the NBA Draft, it seems crazy to think he would potentially return to Duke for his sophomore season to avoid playing for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Just ask Richard Jefferson.

Jefferson, who played 17 seasons in the NBA and now works as an analyst for ESPN, had a hilarious reaction on “The Jump” this week when reporter Brian Windhorst began talking about Williamson’s “options” for boycotting New Orleans. We’ll let Jefferson’s facial expressions speak for themselves.

Jefferson also mocked the narrative on Twitter.

During an appearance on ESPN Radio Thursday, Williamson’s stepfather Lee Anderson said returning to Duke is “nothing that we have even considered.” A report also stated that Williamson had a positive meeting with the Pelicans and spoke highly of New Orleans prior to the draft lottery.

There was endless talk during the college basketball season last year about the risk Williamson was taking by not sitting out. Now that he is healthy and a lock to go first overall, playing another season of college ball would just be absurd. It’s not going to happen.

Sean Payton wastes no time recruiting Zion Williamson to Saints

Sean Payton

Like LeBron James, Zion Williamson is the type of freak athlete who could probably excel at just about any sport he tried to play. He certainly has the body type to match up with opponents on the football field, and New Orleans Saints head coach Sean Payton has taken note of that.

When the Pelicans landed the top spot in the NBA Draft Lottery Tuesday night, it seemed like only a matter of time before someone began recruiting Williamson to play two sports in New Orleans. Payton got in on the fun on Wednesday.

Williamson is listed at 6-foot-7, 285 pounds. For comparison, Rob Gronkowski is 6-foot-6 and weighed about 265 pounds when he was playing for the New England Patriots. There is obviously a lot more to excelling at a professional sport than physical makeup, but you get the point.

If you remember, one former Saints player said years ago that he believes LeBron would break records in the New Orleans offense. Payton was in charge of that offense then and still is now. What do you say, Zion?

Newspaper perfectly sums up Knicks’ disappointing draft lottery with back cover

Knicks logo

A New York newspaper perfectly summed up the reaction to the outcome of the NBA draft lottery for the New York Knicks.

The Knicks entered the lottery as one of three teams with a 14 percent chance of landing the top pick in this year’s draft, which meant the opportunity to select Zion Williamson. Needless to say, Knicks fans weren’t happy to find out that New York would be picking third.

As a result of the Knicks’ recent stretch of bad luck continuing, the New York Daily News will run a back page headline that encapsulates how many Knicks fans felt after Tuesday’s lottery.

The No. 3 pick could still be used to select Ja Morant or R.J. Barrett, both of who are projected to have bright futures. However, the No. 1 pick and dreams of Zion Williamson playing home games in Madison Square Garden are what Knicks fans hoped for. It’s something he also reportedly was hoping for too. Unfortunately for them, that will not be happening.