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Thursday, June 21, 2018

NFL picks Week 4 against the spread – Doc’s picks

It’s been a rough start to the season for Doc Brown picking games, but we’re hoping this week is the one where we turn it all around. Doc has been heavy on underdogs most of the year and that is the case here in Week 4. The good news (or potentially bad) is that Doc and Del seem to see most of the games the same way entering the week. We have two of the same locks, and we agree on the other two games, as you can see. More analysis below.

(ATS = Against the Spread, SU = Straight Up)

week 4 picks

The Doc thinks the New York Giants are going to get a win before too long, but he likes Kansas City in this one. Sure we told you not to get too excited about the Chiefs being 3-0, but this seems like a great combination. First off, KC played last Thursday and had extra time off to prepare for the game. Going back to his days in Philadelphia, Andy Reid is incredible leading his team when they have extra time. This isn’t quite a bye week, but it’s similar to one. Plus when you factor in that the Giants have been turning it over like crazy — they have a league-high 13 turnovers — and the Chiefs lead the AFC with nine takeaways, this could be a horrible combination for the G-Men.

My inclination is to be hesitant about giving away eight points on the road, but this is the Jacksonville Jaguars we’re talking about. The Jags are terrible. They couldn’t even cover getting 19 points at Seattle last weekend. And making matters even better is that Blaine Gabbert should be starting at quarterback, and he is terrible. Indianapolis showed us the kind of team they are with last weekend’s win over the San Francisco 49ers. Maybe they won’t be up for this one, but I think they have enough to cover.

Like Del, the Doc is taking the Atlanta Falcons. They really had the Miami Dolphins on the ropes last weekend and should have won that game. They’re 1-2 and this will be the last time they’re under .500 this season. They’re going to be at home, indoors, and the Patriots’ offense is missing weapons. Sure, Julio Jones and Roddy White aren’t fully healthy, but they should be able to win this one by at least two.

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