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Sports Almanac Picks, NFL Picks 2014

NFL Week 11 expert picks against the spread – Del’s picks

November 11, 2014 by Steve DelVecchio • Comments
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After a few weeks of picks that were slightly less than stellar, Del destroyed the spread in Week 10 to get back on track. With a 9-4 week against the spread and 2-1 week with locks, Del is feeling great heading into the most crucial part of the season.

For those who have been keeping track, Del and Doc Brown now have a combined record of 29-13 with their locks of the week. The most experienced gamblers in Las Vegas would kill for numbers like that. We’ll look to keep it going for you in Week 11.

NFL PICKS WEEK 11
(ATS = Against the Spread, SU = Straight Up)

NFL-Picks-Week-11

In case you haven’t noticed, the Packers are at home again in Week 11. Yes, the Eagles looked great with Mark Sanchez under center against a lowly Panthers team on Monday night. But here’s a fun stat from our friend Evan Silva:

Aaron Rodgers hasn't thrown an interception in a home game since December 2 of 2012. His TD-INT ratio at home during that span is 28:0.

— Evan Silva (@evansilva) November 11, 2014

The Packers are on fire. While the Bears are probably as bad as the Panthers, Mark Sanchez and the Eagles’ offense are nowhere near as good as what Green Bay has going on right now. Del simply doesn’t think the Eagles will be able to keep up.

Del also likes the Patriots this week for the mere fact that they are underdogs. The Pats have been underdogs twice this season (against the Bengals and Broncos), and they won both games with ease. New England is 44-21 against the spread as underdogs since Bill Belichick has been in charge. Until some team can devise a plan to slow down Rob Gronkowski, I refuse to pick against the Patriots. Getting points seems like a gift with the way Tom Brady has been playing and a physical defense that is getting better by the week.

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