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Wednesday, April 25, 2018

NFL Picks Week 11 – Del’s Selections

Del is getting closer and closer to the .500 mark every week with his picks against the spread, but the Top 3 — a.k.a. the money makers — continue to roll as the weeks go by. If you took it upon yourself to bet any of Del’s Top 3 picks last week, you won. If you decided to put money on all three, you won big as Del was a perfect 3-0 with two teams covering with ease.

As for this week’s Top 3, Green Bay seems like the safest bet. The Vikings looked as bad as ever last week in a loss to the Bears and the Packers are fresh off a bye week looking to bury their division rivals. The oddsmakers are putting way too much stock into the Vikings being at home this week. If this game were in Green Bay, the Packers would be favored by at least 7. With the Vikings’ season essentially over, it shouldn’t make a difference where this one is played.

Another line I like is the Cowboys -6.5 at home. If they were giving up the full touchdown, I may not have made this one of the Top 3. For now, I’m going to buy into the idea that Jason Garrett has played the pride card with this team and convinced them to stop embarrassing themselves. Dallas has plenty of talent at wide receiver and Jon Kitna has the ability to get them the ball. I don’t trust Shaun Hill, and I think the Cowboys will actually show up after proving to themselves they can beat good competition last Sunday.

The third line I like a lot is the Ravens -10.5 against Carolina. Do I need to justify myself when Brian St. Pierre is getting the start for the Panthers? The 30-year-old has thrown five career NFL passes. The Panthers are bad enough as is. This seems like a statement from John Fox that he’s given up on coaching in Carolina.

(ATS = Against the Spread, SU = Straight Up)

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