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Tuesday, November 20, 2018

NFL Picks Week 13 – Del’s Selections

And the hot streak continues. A mini-slump slowed Del down a few weeks back, but he’s been killing it lately with his picks, both against the spread and straight up. Last week, Del enjoyed a 9-6 week ATS and a whopping 11-4 SU. The Top 3 continued to make money with another 2-1 week, and Del is now winning 69 percent of the time with the Top 3 selections. The numbers don’t lie, and we’re looking to continue the success right through the end of the season.

This week, Doc Brown and Del agree on two out of their three locks, so it would be too repetitive for me to get into an explanation of why I chose St. Louis and Atlanta as two of my Top 3 picks.  For a great breakdown of the reasoning, check out Doc Brown’s Week 13 picks.  His analysis pretty much sums up both of our thoughts on the games, so I’ll spare you the redundancy.

As for the other Top 3 pick, I love Miami -4.5 this week against the Browns.  Cleveland had been playing well and hanging tough against good competition, but then Jake Delhomme happened.  Colt McCoy’s decision making and lack of mistakes was keeping the Browns in games.  Delhomme is the opposite.  On the flip side, word out of Miami is that Tony Sparano’s decision to bench Chad Henne has lit a fire under his can.  It showed in a convincing road win over the Raiders last weekend.  There’s no reason to think they can’t do it again at home against a Browns team led by Delhomme.  More analysis after the picks chart.

(ATS = Against the Spread, SU = Straight Up)

Another game I like this week is the Packers at home against the Niners.  Green Bay should dominate.  The 49ers will probably be confident coming off their win in Arizona — but they shouldn’t be.  The Cardinals are garbage.  Green Bay, on the other hand, will be looking to bounce back after losing a game they could have won in Atlanta.  They should win by two touchdowns.

Can anyone see Peyton Manning and the Colts losing three games in a row and four out of five?  Me neither.  The Cowboys still aren’t that good, and Indy should take advantage of them at home.  They should be able to cover a 5-point spread as they look to get back on track and keep hold of the AFC South division lead.

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